I’ve been going to battle with Carvana for quite a while now. And every time it gets knocked back, somehow it manages to rebound. I’ve been short through the 60s, tried again a few times in the 70s, and my currently play is the retracement from the mid 80s, through post-earnings to the low 60s. Right now, its not looking too good.
I’ve been in and out through stops, whenever the stock refuses to break through my target floors, and each set up I seem to get a good entry, only to be fooled and trapped by the bulls. I get the sense, that the textbook rallies from 10-15% above the 200MA are shaking out a lot of shorts which is really testing my patience on this play. I refuse to add to shorts above 78, and will only add on a break down to the 60s, with all those June-July tops (triple).
With a VIX this low, getting long here does not present a good risk:reward setup, hence the long-term play on the short. Let’s see how this gumball car machine company turns out when growth gets slammed and their stuck with excessive overhead costs. It just seems like a step back from shopping for cars on the internet. But what do I know, I’m just trading the greed.